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Bayesian Approach to the Specification of Design Space to be Presented at useR! 2009

Central to the QbD approach is the notion of a Design Space comprised of the "multidimensional combination and interaction of input variables (e.g., material attributes) and process parameters that have been demonstrated to provide assurance of quality." However, limited prescriptive information is available regarding to how to construct such a Design Space and to demonstrate that operation within it "…provides assurance of quality."

Development and calibration of a Design Space typically involves construction of multiple predictive response surface models corresponding to critical drug product attributes.  Such a Design Space is constraint by requirements of meeting multiple response criteria.  Optimizations are typically approached using overlapping mean response or by a desirability function.  However, these approaches fail to account for the uncertainty in model parameters and the correlation structure of the data, which can lead to dramatically misguided conclusions. As shown by Peterson (Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics, 18, 959-975, 2008), a Bayesian approach employing posterior predictive distributions addresses both of these limitations.

At the useR! 2009 conference, Blue Reference will present several case studies illustrating the use of Inference for R in conjunction with an assortment of R packages towards the construction of design spaces for representative pharmaceutical products using Bayesian Methods.  An abstract of the presentation can be obtained at its linked title below:

Bayesian Approach to the Specification of Design Space in Quality by Design

Also to be presented at the useR! 2009 conference, is a paper illustrating the use of Inference to construct dynamic applications, as in Inference for QbD. An abstract of this presentation can be obtained at its linked title below:

Microsoft Office Dynamic Documents as R Applications

Inference for QbD Bayesian Approach Featured in pharmaQbD

Despite a bountiful enumerated list of benefits, implementation of Quality by Design in pharmaceutical development is moving at glacial speed. Needed are cheaper, easier and faster methods for achieving QbD goals. The source of the problem and its potential solution, featuring Inference for QbD, are outlined in an article by Paul Thomas, Senior Editor of pharmaQbD, entitled:

Can Bayesians Get QbD Past Tipping Point?

The article is bases on a persistent refrain heard in pharmaceutical development comprised of the following:

  • Clear business benefits of QbD need to be demonstrated before large-scale implementation. However there is a reluctance to initiate demonstration programs because current QbD approaches require a large investment of resources (people, time and materials) to execute the requisite scope of experimental work.
  • There is a plethora of prior data from past development studies. However, using classical risk assessment, DOE and multivariate analysis, there is no way to integrate prior data with new studies. Huge benefits would be gained if one could make effective use of the abundance of prior data for QbD planning, execution, decision making and CMC filings.
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